Friday, July 11, 2008
Polls
At the Lincoln museum I was reminded of the time when some newspapers incorrectly reported the 1948 presidential race in favor of Dewey over the true winner Truman. The newspapers relied on exit polls that came to false conclusions that was caused by the vary nature of a poll. The poll takes a small portion of a larger group then draws conclusions based on that portion. This is a very common statistical practice, but there are often occurrences where the conclusions from the sample group are false. There is nothing that can be done about polls. Polls answer qustions to what is going on around the world and the questions will never go away. The only thing that must be kept in mind is that a poll is never 100% corect.
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